Tuesday 21 June 2016

EU Referendum: A Decision At Last



Usually it’s a good idea to follow my wife’s advice, but here is one occasion when I am choosing a different way, by clarifying some of my thought processes in arriving at a decision on how to vote in the EU Referendum.  I am rather wary of doing so, because I have friends in both the Remain and Leave camps, and I know that whatever decision I take, some of my friends will feel disappointed.  I ought also to confess that I am a fairly simple person at heart, so cannot claim to have grasped all the finer points of the debate.  I simply make some observations.  I apologise in advance if they seem a bit rambling and disjointed at times (and raise more questions than answers), but the process of making a decision on the Referendum issue has seemed rather like that!  I am not trying to create an argument for either side, and I am certainly not stating that what follows is perfect, so please don’t get cross with any bits which you feel are rubbish!


 A Tough Decision
The first thing I want to say is that arriving at a decision has been one of the hardest issues I have ever had to wrestle with.  Some of my friends (on both sides) passionately believe that their perspective is right, and probably struggle to understand why it has been so difficult for me to make up my mind which way to vote.  Two or three weeks ago I filled in a Facebook questionnaire which asked various questions pertaining to the Referendum debate; based on my answers, the result was that I was apparently at that time 58% in favour of Leave and 42% in favour of Remain.  In the period since then I have found myself changing sides on several occasions!

An Open Mind
I did my best to approach the matter with an open mind, trying to listen to both sides of the argument, and coming to a conclusion based on what I had learned.  I have to say that, on the whole, I have been bitterly disappointed with both the tone and the quality of the debate.  Both sides have come out with some ridiculous statements, seemingly plucking figures and statistics out of thin air, and have at times seemed more intent on verbally attacking those on the other side than presenting positive arguments for their cause.  Thankfully, in the midst of the dross there have been a few sane voices worth listening to.  Let me make a few points.

Project Fear
The Remain camp have sought to emphasise the tremendous risks involved in a Brexit vote, claiming that Brexit could lead to everything from World War III to the loss of hundreds of thousands of jobs, a dramatic cut in pensions and a descent into recession.  Such claims have led to the coining of the phrase ‘Project Fear’, which implies that elements of the Remain side wish to frighten people into an anti-Brexit vote.  The same accusation could probably be laid at the door of some prominent Brexiteers, maybe especially with regard to the thorny issue of immigration.  I believe that all those who have resorted to the fear tactic have done their side no favours at all.  The truth is, of course, that there are risks whichever way the vote goes.  It could be said that Brexit is the riskier option, but in reality none of us knows for sure how things will work out.

Working Together
One of the compelling arguments which the Remain campaign has put forward is that it is better for the UK to work together with fellow EU member states than to try to go it alone.  Anyone who knows me will understand that I have a passion for unity, and have always made it a priority to work together with others where possible, whether that be in the context of inter-church relationships or otherwise.  Striving for unity and reconciliation lies at the heart of the Christian gospel.  But is remaining in the EU the only way to work together?  Can we not work out mutually agreeable and cooperative relationships without being so closely tied together and in “The Club”?  Indeed, has our membership of the EU hindered efforts to create closer ties with non-EU countries?  And how is the much lauded cooperation within the EU actually working out in practice?

Finance
Even though I was trained as a Chartered Accountant, I cannot claim to understand the intricacies of national and international finance.  It is rightly claimed that the majority of economists believe that the UK would be worse off financially outside the EU, at least initially.  Yet, as has been pointed out, some of those economists claimed that the UK should push ahead with Economic and Monetary Union within the EU and adopt the Euro.  What a disaster that appears to have been for some of the weaker countries, with Spanish youth unemployment, for example, currently running at over 50%.  If I was an unemployed young person in Spain I might not be all that impressed with the EU!  Perhaps some of the claims about the EU in terms of helping out weaker members aren’t always seen in practice, with the apparent pushing of the Austerity programme, for example, causing considerable pain in some of the weaker economies in the EU.  Admittedly there is a danger that if the UK’s finances are adversely affected by Brexit then that would affect how much we could afford to put into essential services.  It could be that leaving the EU would have serious negative financial effects in a number of ways, though obviously the Leave campaigners deny this.

Immigration
There have undoubtedly been some elements of the Leave camp whose rhetoric and posters have been, to say the least, in extremely bad taste, and have created fear in the hearts of those who feel that we have “too many people” in the UK and are “in danger of being overrun.”  There is absolutely no doubt that immigration has proved to be of enormous benefit to the UK in lots of ways, and there have been few, if any, who have argued that we should have no immigration.  On the other hand, there are those who argue that uncontrolled immigration can have negative effects, both in terms of keeping wages low and of putting additional strains on public services.  Jeremy Corbyn himself has stated that we are unable to limit migration from the EU if we remain within the EU.  Perhaps that is ok, or is it reasonable to say that it would be best if the UK was in the position of being able to have some control in this area?

Self interest
In a recent discussion on the Referendum issue in one of our church home groups I highlighted a verse from one of St Paul’s letters, when he wrote, ‘Do not merely look out for your own personal interests, but also for the interests of others.’  That sentiment lies at the heart of how we are expected to live out our lives as followers of Jesus, and it is regrettably true that some of the arguments promulgated, especially by elements of the Leave side, appear to have been motivated by narrow self-interest.  To think only of ourselves is wrong; we must try and see the bigger picture.  Some of those on the Remain side have stated that a decision to Leave is a decision to abandon our current EU partners as if we have no care for their wellbeing.  That is clearly a danger, but again I might ask, does it have to be so?  Can we not be a genuine, caring, compassionate nation even if we are outside the EU?  And just maybe being outside the EU would encourage us to have a more global perspective?

Rights and protections
There are those who fear that if we leave the EU there would be a danger that some of the hard fought-for workers’ rights would be lost, as well as other benefits which membership of the EU has brought us.  Of course that is a legitimate concern, although the reality is that there are some rights which are greater in Britain than in the EU generally.  But why do we assume that as soon as we leave the EU the government of the day would take these benefits away?  Surely there would be uproar at such eventuality, and we seem to live in times of small Parliamentary majorities which perhaps tend to make Governments more responsive to the voters.


Democracy & Sovereignty
The Leave campaign characterises the EU as a giant, mainly unelected, bureaucratic body which is far removed from our lives, largely undemocratic and unaccountable.  To what extent that image is representative of reality I leave it to others to judge, but I wonder whether there is at least some truth in there.  I appreciate the fact that as a nation we elect a Government every 5 years, and if we feel that it has failed to honour its mandate we can chose to remove it via the ballot box.

The EU itself
The EU of today is far removed from the E.E.C. (Common Market) which we joined in the 1970s.  This is where I do have some doubts, because although I know that the EU has tremendous potential for doing good, I’m not convinced that it can ever fulfil that potential.  Some say that it’s better to stay within the EU and work for change in that way, but what real success have we had in working for reformation over the years?  I wonder who really holds the EU’s reins of power, and what their motivation is.  Are those who reportedly dream of a European Empire in danger of creating a Frankenstein-like monster which might in some respects work for evil rather than good?  Perhaps that thought seems altogether too fanciful, but I do have a lurking concern about the direction the EU might be heading in the future.

The future
There are many other aspects of the debate which I could mention, but I’ve rambled on long enough.  So what about the future?  If only we had a crystal ball which would reveal to us how things will work out with either option, but we don’t.  And even when we’ve made the decision, we won’t know what would have happened if we’d gone the other way.  There are so many uncertainties.  Yet this is a massive decision which will affect generations to come.  Whatever happens, my hope and prayer is for healing in our nation, that we would once again have a spirit of reconciliation and cooperation, of care and compassion for the most vulnerable in society, and a recognition of the call to serve one another. 

If we vote Remain, I pray that the UK will play a full and positive part, both in the EU and in the world at large, and be a force for good, and that we will see real reformation within the EU so that it can fulfill its true potential.  If we vote Leave, I pray that we will not become a self-centred and isolationist nation, but will instead be generous-hearted and cooperative, with a global perspective.  In either case I pray for leaders of integrity, wisdom and compassion to govern our country.  Most of all, I pray for God’s hand of blessing on our nation, and that more and more people will acknowledge that we cannot successfully navigate the way forward without God’s guiding hand.

The decision
If you’ve managed to plough your way through all those words, congratulations!  You may be wondering what my final decision was.  Sue and I have spent many hours watching debates, talking with one another and with other people, and praying for wisdom.  We decided, ultimately, that one of us would vote Remain and one of us would vote Leave (which was which was decided by the toss of a coin!)  Our postal votes are in the post box.  Is that a cop-out?  Maybe, but we feel at ease with our decision, and we will continue to pray for our nation as we move to Thursday’s vote and beyond.  If you haven’t yet made up your mind, may God bless you as you do so, and may God bless the UK and the EU, and this whole amazing world which he has made for us to enjoy.  Better together, whether inside or outside the EU!

Saturday 18 June 2016

Can good come out of tragedy?

In my heart and mind over the last couple of days all other news items and current events (even the European Football Championships), have paled into insignificance in comparison to reports of the tragic and brutal murder of MP Jo Cox. Before this week I had never heard of Jo Cox, but the more I read about her life the more I have realised that she appears to have been a very special person indeed.

Much has been spoken and written about her life and the kind of person she was.  Of course it is often the case when someone dies that people tend to try and say nice things about them, but in Jo Cox's case the tributes are undoubtedly genuine.  People from all sides of the political spectrum, as well as many who came to know Jo through her campaigning or her work as a local MP, have given glowing tributes.  I can't help thinking that we have lost someone who still had so much more to offer.

I am not ashamed to say that tears have come to my eyes as I have listened to some of the reports about Jo Cox.  My heart especially goes out to her husband and two young children.  It seems clear that her family were an enormous part of Jo's life, and they will miss her terribly.  I am full of admiration for her husband Brendan who issued the following powerful and moving statement following Jo's death:

"Today is the beginning of a new chapter in our lives. More difficult, more painful, less joyful, less full of love.
I and Jo's friends and family are going to work every moment of our lives to love and nurture our kids and to fight against the hate that killed Jo.
Jo believed in a better world and she fought for it everyday of her life with an energy, and a zest for life that would exhaust most people.
She would have wanted two things above all else to happen now, one that our precious children are bathed in love and two, that we all unite to fight against the hatred that killed her.
Hate doesn't have a creed, race or religion, it is poisonous.
Jo would have no regrets about her life, she lived every day of it to the full."
  
Jo Cox has been described as one of the least partisan of MPs.  Although she was proud to be a Labour MP, she was at the same time happy to work with those of different persuasions if it helped to advance a cause about which she was passionate.  She doesn't appear to have been one of those people who gloried in opposing anyone who thought differently.  In her maiden speech in the House of Commons she stated,

"While we celebrate our diversity, what surprises me time and time again as I travel around the constituency is that we are far more united and have far more in common with each other than things that divide us."

After the forthcoming EU Referendum, the UK will be in need of healing, no matter which way the vote goes.  How sad it would be if we forget the example of Jo Cox in working to bring people together.

At a vigil in Birstall in Jo's memory, the Bishop of Huddersfield said that he knew two things about Jo Cox. The first was that she was "a woman who was utterly committed to serving others".  The other was that she was "someone who was deeply committed to her own family as a wife and a mother".  What better tributes could be given?

I don't know whether Jo was a person of faith, but it seems to me that her life demonstrated many of the values and principles to which Jesus called his followers: compassion, servanthood, commitment, a passion for justice and unity.  I hope and pray with all my heart that Jo's death will not be in vain, and that somehow good will come out of tragedy

#RIP Jo Cox 

 


Saturday 11 June 2016

To Leave or not to Leave, THAT is the question



In less than two weeks’ time the votes will have been counted and the result of the EU Referendum will be known. The polls are predicting that it is likely to be a close-run thing.  Whatever the outcome, it will have consequences far into the future, affecting not only our lives, but the lives of our children and grandchildren.

In one sense, we are faced with a simple choice, In or Out (though I had to smile when someone made the suggestion that there should be a third choice: ‘Shake it all about!’)  And yet, of course, the choice is very far from simple, because there are an enormous number of considerations to take into account when trying to decide which way to cast our vote.

I must confess to having been hugely disappointed at the manner in which the majority of the debate has been conducted, with both Remain and Leave groups seemingly being guilty of wild exaggeration and of being very willing to play the “fear” card.  If we are to believe all the claims which have been made, we are apparently headed for destruction whichever option we vote for!

I think that many people are bemused by a lot of what has been said in the debate, with many of the statements appearing to be contradictory.  There has been a clamour for ‘facts’ about the implications of either choice.  Yet widely respected financial guru Martin Lewis rightly states that, ‘the most important thing to understand is: there are no facts about what happens next.  Anyone who tells you they KNOW what’ll happen if we leave the EU is a liar.’

So how do we make the choice whether to Remain or to Leave?  Although we cannot predict the future, we can get informed about the issues.  CARE have produced some useful information on their website.  The Methodist Church has also produced some helpful resources.  I received my postal vote a couple of weeks ago.  I haven’t yet completed and returned it, because I haven’t yet finally decided which way to cast my vote.  It’s important, however, that we do use our vote because this is an enormous decision which we as a country are taking.


Whichever way we go, we don’t know for certain what the outcome will be.  The plain truth is that none of us can see clearly into the future.  The Apostle Paul, in his famous ‘love’ chapter in 1 Corinthians 13, puts it like this: We don’t yet see things clearly. We’re squinting in a fog, peering through a mist.’  This is true not only in respect of our future in or out of the EU, but in life as a whole.  We don’t know what’s round the corner, we cannot see far along the road ahead.  For some, that is a scary reality; we may at times wish we could know more about the way ahead, but that is not how things are.

So how do we face an unknown future?  We are left with a choice: we can either try and manage the journey on our own, or we can place our trust in the One who created us.  God has promised that if we place our lives in his hands, then our future is secure in him, whatever may happen.  The verse quoted above from Paul’s writing continues as follows, ‘But it won’t be long before the weather clears and the sun shines bright! We’ll see it all then, see it all as clearly as God sees us, knowing him directly just as he knows us!’  There will, ultimately, come a time when we WILL see clearly.  In the meantime, we continue our journey of faith, remembering the wonderful promise given in Paul’s letter to the Roman Christians, ‘there is nothing in all creation that will ever be able to separate us from the love of God which is ours through Christ Jesus our Lord.’  And whatever the outcome of the Referendum, we must continue to pray for God’s hand upon our nation and our world.

Loving God,
In the referendum that lies before us
in the challenge of seeking an answer,
in our differences of opinion,
in our need to understand,
may you guide us in our decisions,
make us gracious in our disagreement,
and may we join you to work for the
building of your kingdom
rather than our own.
Amen
Methodist Church Website